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 Currency Derivative

What is currency trading?


While trade is international, currencies are national. As international transactions are settled in global currencies which are brought /sold against one another and this constitutes, “Currency Trading”.

Factors affecting the exchange rate of a currency:

A country’s currency exchange rate is typically affected by the supply and demand for the currency in the international forex market. The demand and supply dynamics is principally influenced by factors like interest rates, inflation, trade balance and economic & political scenarios in the country. The level of confidence in the economy of a particular country also influences the currency of that country. These days the capital inflow and outflow play a major role in the exchange rate.

Why Currency Futures?

Small Size: Volume of single lot in currency derivatives is only approximately Rs.50000, whereas equity and commodity futures which sometimes go above Rs 1 lac. This small size will help in greater participation as even small retail clients can trade in this.

Low Volatility: Central bank vigilance and high volume make the currency markets very stable. Further currency markets are open round the clock and it is matter of time only when our currency markets will also be round the clock. This helps in minimizing gap ups and gap downs and better management of risk by brokers as well as clients. You can’t loose big money in this.

Low Margin: Due to low volatility the margin required is only 2-3% against 5-10% in commodities and 15-20% in equities leading to low cost of trading.

Averaging Opportunity: Due to absence of very strong directional moves which happens in equities and commodities, currency markets are much more disciplined. Thus trades can average their positions, and take benefit of small up n down.

Lower Cost of Trading: Low margin, low brokerage and transparent prices make this market very cost effective.

Easy Accessability to all: Currency market through banking system is only accessible to importers and exporters whereas this futures market is available to any body with small margin of Rs.1000 on a single lot .This is first time in India that retail participants can take part in the currency trading.

Focused Trading: Currency trading is very focused in the sense that majority of trading worldwide take place only in 5-6 major Currencies like us Dollar, Euro, Japanese Yen, sterling Pound, Swiss France, Canadian dollar, Australian Dollar etc. This provides greater depth as there are not hundreds of scripts to watch as in equity.

Lastly, due to near perfect nature of this market, technical analysis tools work best in currency markets, providing opportunities to sophisticated speculators to trade here.

Currency futures trading: A tool to combat price fluctuation risk

We need currency futures if our business is influenced by fluctuations in currency exchange rate. If you are in India and are importing something you have done the costing of your imports on the basis of a certain exchange rate between the Indian rupee and the relevant foreign currency. By the time you actually import the value of the Indian rupee may have gone down and you may lose out on your income. In terms of Indian rupee by paying  higher. On the contrary if you are exporting something and the value of the Indian rupee has gone up, u can earn less in terms of rupee than you have anticipated. Currency futures help you hedging against this exchange rate risk.

Model situation:

Exchange-traded currency futures are used to hedge against the risk of rate volatilities in the foreign exchange markets. Here, we give two examples to illustrate the concept and mechanism of hedging:

 

Example 1:
Suppose an edible oil importer wants to import edible oil worth USD 100,000 and places his import order on July 15, 2008, with the delivery date being 4 months ahead. At the time when the contract is placed, in the spot market, one USD was worth say INR 44.50. But, suppose the Indian Rupee depreciates to INR 44.75 per USD when the payment is due in October 2008, the value of the payment for the importer goes up to INR 4,475,000 rather than INR 4,450,000. The hedging strategy for the importer, thus, would be:

 

Current Spot Rate (15th July '08)
Buy 100 USD - INR Oct '08 Contracts on 15th July ’08

:

44.5000
(1000 * 44.5500) * 100 (Assuming the Oct '08 contract is trading at 44.5500 on 15th July, '08)

Sell 100 USD - INR Oct '08 Contracts in Oct '08 Profit/Loss (futures market)

:

44.7500
1000 * (44.75 – 44.55) * 100 = 20,000

Purchases in spot market @ 44.75 Total cost of hedged transaction

:

44.75 * 100,000
100,000 * 44.75 – 20,000 = INR 4,455,000

 

Example 2:
A jeweller who is exporting gold jewellery worth USD 50,000, wants protection against possible Indian Rupee appreciation in Dec ’08, i.e. when he receives his payment. He wants to lock-in the exchange rate for the above transaction. His strategy would be:

 

One USD - INR contract size

:

USD 1,000

Sell 50 USD - INR Dec '08 Contracts
(on 15th Jul '08)

:

44.6500

Buy 50 USD - INR Dec '08 Contracts in Dec '08

:

44.3500

Sell USD 50,000 in spot market @ 44.35 in Dec '08 (Assume that initially Indian rupee depreciated , but later appreciated to 44.35 per USD as foreseen by the exporter by end of Dec '08)

Profit/Loss from futures (Dec '08 contract)

:

50 * 1000 *(44.65 – 44.35)
= 0.30 *50 * 1000
= INR 15,000

 

The net receipt in INR for the hedged transaction would be: 50,000 *44.35 + 15,000 = 2,217,500 + 15,000 = 2,232,500. Had he not participated in futures market, he would have got only INR 2,217,500. Thus, he kept his sales unexposed to foreign exchange rate risk.

Contract specifications

Underlying:

The exchange rate in Indian rupees for us dollars

Trading hours:

9.00Am to 5.00 PM( Monday to Friday)

Contract size:

USD 1000

Price Quotation :

INR per 1 USD

Tick Size:

INR 0.0025

Contracts:

 All months with a maximum maturity of 12 months

Settlement Mechanism:

   Cash settled in Indian rupees

Final settlement rate:

   RBI USDINR reference rate

 

Last trading day: Two working days prior to the last business day of the expiry month at 12 noon.

Final settlement date: Last working day of month ,expect saterday,It will be same as that for interbank settlement in mumbai.

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